Income Diversification, Credit Risk, Liquidity Concentration, and Bank Stability: Testing Competing Risk Transmission Mechanisms in Indonesian Banking
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.61255/jeemba.v4i5.1520Keywords:
Bank Stability, Income Diversification, Credit Risk, Liquidity Concentration, System GMMAbstract
Purpose – This study examines the effects of income diversification, credit risk, and liquidity concentration on bank stability and assesses whether their joint effects reflect compounding or buffering mechanisms in Indonesian conventional banks during 2019–2025.
Design/methodology/approach – The study uses a balanced panel of 38 conventional commercial banks listed on the Indonesia Stock Exchange from 2019 to 2025. The analysis employs Two-Step System GMM, with alternative panel estimators used for robustness checks.
Findings/Results – Credit risk has a negative and significant effect on bank stability (β = −10.03; p < 0.01), while income diversification and liquidity concentration show no significant direct effects. The interaction between credit risk and liquidity concentration is positive and significant (β = 33.79; p < 0.01), whereas the income diversification–credit risk interaction is marginally significant. The three-way interaction is not significant (β = −55.64; p = 0.696), providing no support for either the compounding or buffering mechanism at the simultaneous three-way level.
Originality/Value – This study advances banking-risk research by testing competing interaction mechanisms rather than assuming purely independent or fully interactive risk effects. The findings indicate that risk transmission in Indonesian banks is characterized more by pairwise interactions than by a simultaneous three-way mechanism.
Abstract views: 0
,
PDF downloads: 0
Downloads
References
Abbas, F., & Ali, S. (2022). Dynamics of diversification and banks’ risk-taking and stability: Empirical analysis of commercial banks. Managerial and Decision Economics, 43(4), 1000–1014. https://doi.org/10.1002/mde.3434
Abuzayed, B., Al-Fayoumi, N., & Molyneux, P. (2018). Diversification and bank stability in the GCC. Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, 57(C), 17–43. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.intfin.2018.04.005
Alouane, N., & Haddou, S. (2026). The Double-Edged Effect of Bank Revenue Diversification: Insights from an Emerging Market. International Journal of Financial Studies, 14(5), 102. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs14050102
Altaee, H., Talo, I. M. A., & Mustafa Hassan Mohammad Adam, Ph. D. (2013). Testing the Financial Stability of Banks in GCC Countries: Pre and Post Financial Crisis. International Journal of Business and Social Research, 3(4), 93–105. Retrieved from https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:lrc:larijb:v:3:y:2013:i:4:p:93-105
Arellano, M., & Bond, S. (1991). Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations. The Review of Economic Studies, 58(2), 277–297. https://doi.org/10.2307/2297968
Arellano, M., & Bover, O. (1995). Another look at the instrumental variable estimation of error-components models. Journal of Econometrics, 68(1), 29–51.
Ariefianto, M. D., Nur, T., & Meivitawanli, B. (2026). Credit Risk Management Dynamics: Evidence from Indonesian Rural Banks. Risks, 14(1), 9. https://doi.org/10.3390/risks14010009
Ashraf, Y., & Nazir, M. S. (2023). Income diversification and bank performance: an evidence from emerging economy of Pakistan. Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, 41, 1947–1961. https://doi.org/10.1108/JEAS-05-2023-0119
Beck, T., De Jonghe, O., & Mulier, K. (2022). Bank Sectoral Concentration and Risk: Evidence from a Worldwide Sample of Banks. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 54(6), 1705–1739. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/jmcb.12920
Berger, A. N., & Bouwman, C. H. S. (2017). Bank liquidity creation, monetary policy, and financial crises. Journal of Financial Stability, 30(C), 139–155. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfs.2017.05.001
Berry, W., Golder, M., & Milton, D. (2012). Improving Tests of Theories Positing Interaction. The Journal of Politics, 74. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0022381612000199
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998a). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (1998b). Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models. Journal of Econometrics, 87(1), 115–143. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(98)00009-8
Blundell, R., & Bond, S. (2000). GMM Estimation with persistent panel data: an application to production functions. Econometric Reviews, 19, 321–340. https://doi.org/10.1080/07474930008800475
Brambor, T., Clark, W., Golder, M., Beck, N., Boehmke, F., Gilligan, M., … Nagler, J. (2005). Understanding interaction models: Improving empirical analyses. Political Analysis, 13, 1–20.
Cipollini, A., & Fiordelisi, F. (2012). Economic value, competition and financial distress in the European banking system. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(11), 3101–3109. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2012.07.014
Demirgüç-Kunt, A., Pedraza, A., & Ruiz-Ortega, C. (2021). Banking sector performance during the COVID-19 crisis. Journal of Banking & Finance, 133, 106305. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2021.106305
Diamond, D. W., & Rajan, R. G. (2000). A Theory of Bank Capital. The Journal of Finance, 55(6), 2431–2465. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/0022-1082.00296
Djebali, N., & Zaghdoudi, K. (2020). Threshold effects of liquidity risk and credit risk on bank stability in the MENA region. Journal of Policy Modeling. Retrieved from https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:216252062
Doan, T., Pesaran, H., Im, K., & Shin, Y. (2003). Testing For Unit Roots in Heterogeneous Panels. Journal of Econometrics, 115, 53–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7
Drehmann, M., & Nikolaou, K. (2010). Funding liquidity risk: definition and measurement. Bank for International Settlements. Retrieved from Bank for International Settlements website: https://EconPapers.repec.org/RePEc:bis:biswps:316
Duong, Q. N., Tran, N. T. K., & Dang, T. P. T. (2025). Income diversification and liquidity risk in ASEAN-5 banks: A Bayesian perspective. PLOS ONE, 20(3), 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0316949
Elisa, N., Aidid, M. K., & Meliyana, S. M. (2025). Regression Analysis of Panel Data on Gross Enrolment Rate (GER) At Junior High School and Equivalent Education Levels in South Sulawesi Province in 2018-2022. Quantitative Economics and Management Studies, 6(1), 99–107. https://doi.org/10.35877/454RI.qems3932
Fiordelisi, F., Marques-Ibanez, D., & Molyneux, P. (2011). Efficiency and Risk in European Banking. Journal of Banking & Finance, 35, 1315–1326. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2010.10.005
Ghenimi, A., Chaibi, H., & Omri, M. A. B. (2017). The effects of liquidity risk and credit risk on bank stability: Evidence from the MENA region. Borsa Istanbul Review, 17(4), 238–248. Retrieved from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bor/bistre/v17y2017i4p238-248.html
Goetz, M., Laeven, L., & Levine, R. (2016). Does the Geographic Expansion of Banks Reduce Risk? Journal of Financial Economics, 120. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2016.01.020
Gujarati, D. N., & Porter, D. C. (2009). Basic Econometrics. McGraw-Hill Irwin. Retrieved from https://books.google.co.id/books?id=6l1CPgAACAAJ
Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. The Econometrics Journal, 3(2), 148–161. https://doi.org/10.1111/1368-423X.00043
Imbierowicz, B., & Rauch, C. (2014). The relationship between liquidity risk and credit risk in banks. Journal of Banking & Finance, 40, 242–256. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2013.11.030
Jensen, M., & Meckling, W. (2009). Theory of the firm: managerial behavior, agency costs, and ownership structure. https://doi.org/10.1017/CBO9780511817410.023
Laeven, L., & Levine, R. (2009). Bank governance, regulation and risk taking. Journal of Financial Economics, 93(2), 259–275. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jfineco.2008.09.003
Lee, C., Wang, C.-W., & Ho, S.-J. (2020). Financial inclusion, financial innovation, and firms’ sales growth. International Review of Economics & Finance, 66, 189–205. Retrieved from https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:214226627
Lee, C.-C., Hsieh, M.-F., & Yang, S.-J. (2013). The relationship between revenue diversification and bank performance: Do financial structures and financial reforms matter? Japan and the World Economy, 29. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.japwor.2013.11.002
Levin, A. T., Lin, C. F. J., & Chu, C.-S. J. (2002). Unit root tests in panel data: asymptotic and finite-sample properties. Journal of Econometrics, 108, 1–24. Retrieved from https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:119949046
Markowitz, H. (1952). PORTFOLIO SELECTION. The Journal of Finance, 7(1), 77–91. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1540-6261.1952.tb01525.x
Mehmood, A., & De Luca, F. (2023). How does non-interest income affect bank credit risk? Evidence before and during the COVID-19 pandemic. Finance Research Letters, 53, 103657. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1016/j.frl.2023.103657
Meslier-Crouzille, C., Tacneng, R., & Tarazi, A. (2013). Is Bank Income Diversification Beneficial? Evidence from an Emerging Economy. Journal of International Financial Markets Institutions and Money, 31. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1557010
Meslier-Crouzille, C., Nys, E., & Sauviat, A. (2013). Contribution of foreign and domestic banks to the financial stability of emerging countries. Applied Economics, 45(35), 4981–4993.
Moudud-Ul-Huq, S. (2018). Banks’ capital buffers, risk, and efficiency in emerging economies: are they counter-cyclical? Eurasian Economic Review, 9, 467–492. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40822-018-0121-5
Nguyen, M., Perera, S., & Skully, M. (2016). Bank market power, ownership, regional presence and revenue diversification: Evidence from Africa. Emerging Markets Review, 27, 36–62. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ememar.2016.03.001
Nguyen, T. T., & Nguyen, T. T. (2023). Income diversification, credit risk and bank stability: evidence from an emerging market. Asia-Pacific Journal of Accounting & Economics, 31, 987–1007. Retrieved from https://api.semanticscholar.org/CorpusID:262222409
Roodman, D. (2009a). A Note on the Theme of Too Many Instruments. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 71(1), 135–158. https://doi.org/https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2008.00542.x
Roodman, D. (2009b). How to do Xtabond2: An Introduction to Difference and System GMM in Stata. The Stata Journal, 9, 86–136. https://doi.org/10.1177/1536867X0900900106
Srairi, S. (2013). Ownership structure and risk-taking behaviour in conventional and Islamic banks: Evidence for MENA countries. Borsa Istanbul Review, 13, 115–127. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bir.2013.10.010
Stiroh, K., & Rumble, A. (2006). The Dark Side of Diversification: The Case of US Financial Holding Companies. Journal of Banking & Finance, 30, 2131–2161. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbankfin.2005.04.030
Tariq, W., Usman, M., Mir, H., Aman, I., & Ali, I. (2014). Determinants of Commercial Banks Profitability: Empirical Evidence from Pakistan. International Journal of Accounting and Financial Reporting, 4. https://doi.org/10.5296/ijafr.v4i2.5939
Tran, V. T., Lin, C.-T., & Nguyen, H. (2016). Liquidity creation, regulatory capital, and bank profitability. International Review of Financial Analysis, 48(C), 98–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.irfa.2016.09.010
Wagner, W. (2007). The liquidity of bank assets and banking stability. Journal of Banking & Finance, 31, 121–139. https://doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.556128
Wooldridge, J. M. (2002). Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data. MIT Press. Retrieved from https://books.google.co.id/books?id=cdBPOJUP4VsC.
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2026 Riohasiholan Sijabat, Nahla Husna Jufri, Muftihaturrahma Salim, Ahmad Rizki Rifani, Wita Juwita Ermawati

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
















Email: fadhila.della@gmail.com, andika.isma@unm.ac.id